Category: mryvecio

Ed Mann Joins All-Star Group For Late-Night Frank Zappa Tribute [A Gallery]

first_imgLoad remaining images Percussionist and long-time Frank Zappa band member Ed Mann joined a funk-filled tribute to his late bandleader last night at the Putnam Den in Saratoga Springs, alongside keyboardist Todd Stoops (RAQ), guitarist Marcus Rezak (Digital Tape Machine), drummer Scotty Zwang (Dopapod), bassist Dan Lotito and special guest guitarist Gabriel Marin (Consider the Source). Billed as “Cosmik Playground,” the all-star jam tribute welcomed all Phish fans to a late night dance party that upped the weird until the odd hours of the night. With ShwizZ kicking things off with their spontaneously funky tunes, the night was a non-stop-shop for musical complexity and technical prowess. Shwizz’s Frankie Coda and Ryan Liatsis joined Cosmik Playground for the majority of the set, assisting on both vocals and guitar, respectively, and helping to round out the stellar tribute to Zappa.The evening’s catalogue sifted through some Zappa favorites, “Peaches En Regalla,” “Cosmik Debris,” “My Guitar Wants To Kill Your Mama,” and a spaced out, jammy rendition of The Doors‘ “Roadhouse Blues.” The tribute was an incredible success, and the house rocked hard as ever. If the energy from the stage was any indication, we’ll keep our fingers crossed for this group of musicians to join together again in celebration of the life of Frank Zappa.Enjoy the full gallery below, courtesy of Chad Anderson!Cosmik Playground @ The Putnam Den 7/3/16 Setlist:Chungas Revenge>Peaches en Regalia Keep it Greasy>Cosmic DebrisPygmy Twilight City of Tiny Lights *Treacherous CretinsWilly the Pimp *My guitar wants to kill your mama *Andy *Encore: Roadhouse Blues* with Gabriellast_img read more

The right game plan

first_img How they leveled the playing field In terms of work, it’s really hard when you don’t have those casual or informal connections. I can’t walk down the hallway and just bump into people. I can’t walk into spaces where a lot of staff or students typically would be congregating. Everything has to be planned and intentional. So that’s probably been the most challenging part, just trying to establish the kinds of credibility and trust and relationships that you need as a leader. I am not quite sure when we’re going to be back in person. But we will manage this way, for now.GAZETTE: Currently, is there any athletic activity happening on campus or any facilities open for students?McDERMOTT: We’re really proud that our spaces were the first spaces open to students on campus, aside from houses and grabbing food at the dining halls. I think it was the beginning of October when we started opening. We opened the MAC for in-residence students and staff. It’s highly regulated, with only a certain number of people allowed in, and everyone needs to wear masks. We’ve worked with Harvard’s Department of Environmental Health & Safety on safety standards around airflow for different spaces, and how many people could occupy spaces, so it was very well planned out.On the same day, we started in-person athletic activity for the student athletes who were on campus, limited to strength conditioning work, which was in line with the Ivy League phasing plan. The first, in-person phase of that plan was limited to strength conditioning to help get students accustomed to wearing masks and being 6 feet apart from each other and being in small groups. The idea was that if people were successfully able to comply with that and were healthy, we would continue to phase two, which is sport-related activity along with strength conditioning. They were still in small groups of no more than 10, and they were still 6 feet apart. We thought the students might find it boring, but they were so ecstatic to be around their teammates and to be able to do something again. So, it’s really been kind of a bright spot.GAZETTE: Can you tell me what will happen to the eligibility for a student who has been away from campus due to COVID?McDERMOTT: We refer to it as a clock in Division I. They have five years to use their four seasons of eligibility, which starts the day that they matriculate. So, for those enrolled, whether remote or living on campus, they haven’t lost a season because we only practiced, but they have a finite window of time to use that year. For those who have taken a leave completely, it’s the same. They are not using a season, but their clock doesn’t stop either.GAZETTE: Is there anything else you would like to add?McDERMOTT: Obviously, this is a really unusual and challenging time for different reasons for different people. But I have not lost my gratitude or excitement about being part of the Harvard community and having this opportunity, and I’m very excited for our future. I know this is temporary, even though it’s lasting longer than any of us would like. But we’ll get beyond it. And I know that the Crimson will be ready for what lies ahead of us and we will represent Harvard with fortitude and excellence.Interview was lightly edited for clarity and length. GAZETTE: How do you think your time working at Columbia and Princeton will help inform how you approach your role here at Harvard?McDERMOTT: Given what I said about how I was a conscientious student, and also being very competitive, I think finding the Ivy League in my professional career ­— getting my first job at Columbia and then going from there to Princeton ­­— really just felt like home for me. I’ve said this a few times, but coming to Harvard feels like a homecoming, both coming back to the Ivy League that I really feel is the perfect place for my ideology and philosophy, and coming back home to Massachusetts, since I’m from here.I think the education-based philosophy of the Ivy League and the fact that those values and principles have not changed fundamentally over decades, and have stood the test of time, just spoke volumes to me when I started working at Columbia, where there truly was an emphasis on this balanced, student-athlete experience. I saw that that was going to be the primary focus around any decision that was made, and that’s how I try to view my job. Today, any decision that’s made is student-athlete-centric. With any decision we first ask the questions “How will this impact the student-athletes?” and “What do they want out of their Harvard experience?”  I think if I were at a different school and I asked myself those questions, the answers might be different. But I think what I really appreciate about being at Harvard and having been at Princeton and Columbia is: The answer to that is they want us to honor their whole selves, and they want to thrive in everything that they do.For a student-athlete, it’s also the ability to come to a place like Harvard and compete at the highest level in college athletics and to be able to fulfill the competitive aspect of themselves and the potential that they feel they might be able to achieve. We are here to support all of that, and I just so appreciate being in the Ivy League and being surrounded by this philosophy where it’s not just about athletic ability, and it’s not just about winning. We are thinking of this in a learning and growing and educational process kind of way. Education through athletics is something that I’m a true believer in.GAZETTE: Can you say more about what education through athletics means to you?McDERMOTT: To me, it boils down to the mentality that we are co-curricular from an educational standpoint; that we are complementary to the academic learning in the classroom and the growth that’s happening there; that we are the vehicle for more of the personal growth around coping and failure and resiliency and relationship-building and learning how to work with people whom you don’t always agree with, people with different backgrounds, as you drive toward this common goal and desired outcome. And I think student-athletes, because of that experience, are advantaged, because those are the kinds of skills and lessons and life learning that help them as they transition out of Harvard and go on to whatever it is they intend to pursue.GAZETTE: The review of the Harvard Athletics Department by FAS released in June found that some student-athletes struggle to balance their academic and athletic commitments, and others can’t find enough time relax and unwind. What are your thoughts on those findings?McDERMOTT: It’s certainly something I’ve heard and experienced pretty much everywhere I’ve been. The students at Princeton reminded me of the rabbit in “Alice in Wonderland,” so focused on time and worried about every minute, hurrying along to the next thing; they were just constantly needing time. It was similar at the University of Chicago. At Harvard, I haven’t experienced it firsthand because obviously we haven’t been in a normal, on-campus situation due to the coronavirus. But it did come out in the study, and in a way it is fresh information, even though it’s probably not a huge surprise to people who have been around this for a while. I think we’ll need to delve into it. I plan to meet with the Student-Athlete Advisory Committee and other student groups to try to drill into this. When you do that, you can identify where those real pressure points are and explore things that we can do to mitigate it. Sometimes, we find that it is just part of the normal college experience, that it is manageable but challenging and that students turn it into a positive because they really learn to juggle things and effectively manage their time.But certainly, if there seem to be continual challenges around a student getting a decent dinner or enough sleep and we’re part of the problem, we need to really take a hard look at that and evaluate what we’re doing and if we can do it differently. I also think it’s key to bring coaches into these conversations, to get their input and talk through practice length. We will get more out of student-athletes if we’re respectful of their time and try to do as much as we can with the least amount of time possible. I think it’s important for us to be continually asking ourselves if we can identify where there might be areas we can look to for solutions, but it takes partnership with others on campus too.GAZETTE: You mentioned partnerships. Another finding in the report was a desire for more collaboration between FAS and athletics. How are you going to approach that kind of work?McDERMOTT: That’s something we’ve actually been thinking about quite a bit. This idea of integration definitely came across loud and clear in the study, and it was something that we discussed throughout my hiring process. I think this year gives us an interesting space to work on that. I’ve been talking with a lot of people on campus and asking them where there are points of connectivity that I can take advantage of with faculty, with deans, to start building relationships and credibility. That’s not to suggest that there hadn’t been work done in that area before. We have a faculty standing committee. But I want to find the places we can tell our story in a very consistent and compelling way so that we can kind of fill this gap of knowledge and information, because if we don’t, then people kind of fill in that story for us.And again, this is nothing different from what I have experienced in other places. But often there tends to be a judgment made in certain moments that we must be bringing people here who are more focused on their sport than they are on academics. We want to make it clear that we have these amazing student-athletes who work very hard and who go on to be great ambassadors and citizen-leaders. I think sometimes there’s also a judgment that our coaches only care about bringing in really great athletes, that they are only concerned about winning. Nothing could be further from the truth. I think as much as we use this hyphenated word student-athlete, we can just as easily use educator-coach, because every coach on our staff thinks of themselves first and foremost as an educator. That’s why they’re here. With every student-athlete, the coaches are concerned about personal and character development and making sure that they’re part of that growing and learning process with them. “Coaches who coach at a place like Harvard are doing this because they are educators, and they truly believe in that model.” ‘The Game’ taught students what it was like to be a female athlete before Title IX Erin McDermott named athletic director Massachusetts native brings Ivy principles to lead program into future Related Starting a new job is never easy, but few have had it as tough as Erin McDermott. She took over as Harvard’s John D. Nichols ’53 Family Director of Athletics on July 1, amid a pandemic that had already forced lockdowns and evacuations of businesses, schools, and universities and taken nearly 128,000 lives with no signs of abating.Now, four months later, the fall and winter sports seasons have been canceled. Nevertheless, McDermott says, “The Crimson will be ready for what lies ahead of us, and we will represent Harvard with fortitude and excellence.” McDermott said her athletic administrative experience at Princeton, Columbia, and the University of Chicago, as well as the time she spent playing basketball herself at Hofstra University (where she earned the school’s top scholar-athlete award) have informed her approach, one devoted to the student-athlete’s success in the classroom and on the court, or wherever they may practice and play. McDermott spoke with the Gazette about the role of sports in her life, about the importance of athletics at Harvard, and about her preparation for the months and years ahead.Q&AErin McDermottGAZETTE: Can you describe the importance of sports in your own life?McDERMOTT: I can’t say it’s been everything, but it’s pretty close. In terms of my personal development, it’s really where I found my confidence. The first memory I have of being athletic is going to a youth soccer tryout with my brother. He was probably 5; I was 3. I wasn’t old enough to play so I was just kicking the ball around. I was always a little tall for my age, making me look older, and one of the coaches said to my father: “Bring her back when she’s ready.” Getting that positive reinforcement, even though I was never a soccer player, was huge. Having an older brother, I was always trying to keep up with him, whether it was with Wiffle ball in the backyard or on the mountains learning to ski. And then I ventured into organized sports, and I got reinforcement from that. Thankfully, I had parents who completely encouraged me and didn’t think twice about it. I never heard the word “tomboy.” I didn’t know what that was until I was older. And it really led me down the path of playing different sports when I was young, continuing into high school.GAZETTE: Did you plan to keep competing in college?McDERMOTT: I thought I wanted to pursue sports in college, but I was also a very conscientious student, and I was very concerned about the time that it would take. But eventually I was recruited, and I landed at Hofstra University, where I played basketball. I had never really thought about getting into this type of work as a profession until my junior year, when I started observing all of this infrastructure around me and realized it was a complex operation. A woman was the associate athletic director. She’s still there, actually. She was always such a supporter for the women’s teams, always present, and always making you feel like somebody was in your corner. It was her presence that was so memorable, along with some decisions that Hofstra made about the whole experience for female athletes, which I felt weren’t quite on par with where they should have been. Also, about that time, I heard the woman who was the women’s athletic director at the University of Minnesota speak about Title IX. I was a Title IX baby, born the year it passed, so growing up those opportunities were just available to me — I didn’t really realize they were a right provided to us. That was the first time I really heard someone talk about the legal issues around athletics and gender equity, and it was really what started making me think about getting into this as a profession, because I thought there needed to be different people at the decision-making table for anything to really change.So that’s what started leading me down this path. I really owe so much to my own experience with sports, and I am so grateful for it. It was so formative and shaped my opinions about how sports should look and feel and be for all student-athletes, regardless of the sport you played, your gender, your race, or your sexual orientation. So, I owe sports so much. “I was a Title IX baby, born the year it passed, so growing up those opportunities were just available to me — I didn’t really realize they were a right provided to us.” Student athletes get back on field with new goals in sight Working it out GAZETTE: I think many people think Harvard athletics just involves the NCAA teams. But there is much more to it, including club sports, House competitions, and the classes and athletic facilities that are open to all students and staff. McDERMOTT: We’ve also thought a lot about how to provide more for other students on campus so they feel like there is this athletics experience that they can be part of too. That was a driver behind the Grow Play Achieve (GPA) program we started this year, a series of online, physical activity, personal development, and community-building activities that connected students with Harvard coaches. I think as much as we can be providing those opportunities for other students at Harvard the better, and making this about a Crimson community on campus.We already have this really robust recreational program, and I think it’s just making sure that all those opportunities are well-promoted, and everyone knows what their options are. Typically, these are students who are well aware of wellness issues and of the long-term health benefits of being active. With all of our recreational offerings and classes around fitness we are trying to really stay on the cutting edge, but we also recognize that we probably need more space. We’d like to do a space study as part of a facility plan for the future. And I will include recreation in that because I think we need to have sufficient space on campus to accommodate the demands and needs of our students and make sure that they have really great and inviting recreational spaces.GAZETTE: Was there anything else in the report that surprised you or that you found particularly striking?McDERMOTT: It’s not a surprise to any of us who have been in it, but what struck me was how strongly it came out that student-athletes really value their relationships with their coaches. It confirmed exactly what I said about how our coaches view themselves as educators first and are truly mentors. Coaches who coach at a place like Harvard are doing this because they are educators, and they truly believe in that model. If it was just about wanting to be as competitive as possible or making the most money, they wouldn’t be here. So that was really affirming to see. And I think it’s powerful for people on campus to see that, those who haven’t had this experience and maybe don’t have that natural connection with what a coaching relationship can become. And to see that come out so strongly, across so many different sports, was so encouraging and signaled that we clearly have a really great coaching staff, and that the coaches are really treasured by their student-athletes.Other than that, the academic integration was something we definitely want to work on, but generally, it felt like the culture was very positive. The study has been a great resource to have walking into this new role.GAZETTE: What has it been like stepping into this position during a pandemic?McDERMOTT: I’d say that the hardest part has just been not having really the physical presence with people. We started dealing directly with COVID-19 closures when I was still at Chicago, transitioning to working from home and connecting on Zoom with people I’ve worked with for seven years. But coming into this situation I didn’t have that foundation, and the work has been all virtual.It’s also been really challenging because I’ve had to deliver really disappointing news virtually. It was only a week after I started that I had to tell everybody we weren’t having any fall competition. That was with our full department and student-athletes in a webinar format, but it felt impersonal. It felt the same way when I recently had to let people know that the Ivy League presidents have chosen to cancel the winter sports season and that the spring season will be on hold until the end of February. Still, I thought it was really important that they hear that from me.last_img read more

Survival Claims Isolated Aborigines in Danger of Extinction

first_imgBy Dialogo May 29, 2009 Madrid, 29 may (EFE). – One year after the NGO Survival International released photos of a few isolated indigenous groups in the interior of the Brazilian Amazon to demonstrate their difficult living conditions, the organization claims that nothing has changed in the situation of these peoples. In a report submitted to the media, Survival lamented that despite the “big media impact” that the images made on the international level, indigenous people with no contact with the rest of the world ”are still faced with extinction.” A year ago, the Brazilian governmental organization National Indian Foundation (FUNAI) and the NGO revealed aerial photographs of various Indian communities in Acre, a Brazilian state near the border of Peru. At the time both organizations reported that these communities were in danger of extinction because of harassment from illegal loggers operating in the area. “The threats to their land, lifestyles, and lives shocked the public,” according to Survival’s report in 2009. However, the NGO said that governments, businesses, and others involved “continue to ignore their rights and invade and destroy their land with impunity.” In its current report, Survival says that communities at greatest risk of extinction inhabit several areas in three South American countries: Paraguay, Brazil, and Peru. The Awá in the Brazilian Amazon, the aborigines of Rio Pardo in Mato Grosso (also in Brazil), those of the River Enviro, in Ucayali, Peru, who appeared in the aforementioned images, the Napo-Tigre in the Peruvian department of Loreto, and the Ayoreo-Totobiegosode Paraguayans are the five groups most at risk. “These are just a few of more than one hundred that exist all over the world, spread throughout South America, the Indian Ocean, and the island of New Guinea,” the NGO reported. According to the international organization, they are faced with two major threats that jeopardize their survival. The most immediate is their lack of immunity to Western diseases such as influenza, chicken pox, measles, and other respiratory diseases. In that sense, Survival stated that this “catastrophic” situation has occurred repeatedly in the Amazon, and “not only in the distant past,” because, he says, in 1996 at least half of the Murunahua aborigines died after their contact with illegal mahogany loggers. The violence is, according to the NGO, the second major threat because, in many cases described in the study, indigenous peoples are faced with groups of loggers who are armed and ready to “shoot them on sight.” A month after the images were released, the international organization commented in the report on the controversy over the publication of a story in the British newspaper “The Observer,” which doubted the authenticity of the photographs. On this matter, Survival said that in August 2008, the newspaper “printed a retraction, admitting that the article had been ‘inaccurate, misleading, and distorted,’” and clarified that the photographs were “perfectly legitimate.” Finally, the NGOs repeated in the report that there are still “many governments that continue to refuse to take the simple step that would effectively ensure the survival of these peoples: to protect their territories adequately.”last_img read more

U.S. Southern Command to Launch Nanosatellites by Year’s End

first_img Currently, nanosatellites are being designed to support communication and overhead imagery, but as other technologies and sensors become smaller and more efficient, the potential for this new approach to space-based capabilities is endless. Titled SNaP-3, the nanosatellite project came about as one of many other technological endeavors tackled by the team of experts at SOUTHCOM’s Science, Technology and Experimentation Division. The mission of this group, established in 2002, is to take unsolved requirements identified by U.S. and partner nation forces and reach out to science and technology experts in the United States and Latin America to provide solutions. Although a clever and low cost tool for military and civilian purposes, nanosatellites still depend on the current inventory of large military grade rockets to be launched into space. Finding suitable “commuting” opportunities for nanosatellites is challenging and time consuming, admits Hurtado. To solve that part of the equation, the Space and Missile Defense Command is also developing a low-cost small satellite launch vehicle, which can support rapid launch requirements to meet the vision of more responsive space support. By Dialogo March 22, 2013 The Science, Technology and Experimentation Division is already in conversations with partner nations to determine details such as the site for the operational demonstration, the military and/or civilian organizations that will participate in these, and the hypothetical scenarios for testing the technology in realistic situations. Unlike their larger counterparts, which can weigh tons and are several meters long, nanosatellites are slim and light. Thanks to the advances in microchip technologies, they are little boxes that can be held in the palm of your hand. A Reality Check The United States Southern Command (SOUTHCOM) is looking to space technologies to respond to the communication requirements for the battlefield. And, in this quest, the Command is placing big hopes on small and inexpensive satellites. These platforms are known as cubesats, or more commonly, as nanosatellites. As a huge plus, nanosatellites also come with a miniaturized price tag, a tiny fraction of the cost of traditional satellites. This translates into the potential to save hundreds of millions of dollars for space-based capabilities. center_img Among the characteristics of these miniature space travelers, Hurtado mentioned the ability to rapidly deploy a nanosatellite cluster – also called constellation – “on demand” to support a specific area in response to unpredictable events such as tsunamis or earthquakes. Such constellations can also provide much needed situational awareness in support of SOUTHCOM’s mission requirements. Currently, the U.S. Army’s Space and Missile Defense Command is building three nanosatellites for SOUTHCOM. The plan is to launch these nanosatellites by the end of 2013. In this case, the requirement was better access to beyond-line-of-sight tactical communications when troops are on the move, deployed in remote or hard-to-reach areas such as the thick jungles of Colombia or the rough landscapes of Peru. The technology is also valuable for long distance ship to shore communications, to mention just a few applications. Additionally, SNaP-3 nanosatellites will have the ability to provide data exfiltration from unattended ground sensors. In addition to SOUTHCOM and the U.S. Space and Missile Defense Command, the third party involved in the SNaP-3 project is the Rapid Fielding Directorate within the Office of the U.S. Secretary of Defense. “The Rapid Fielding Directorate looks for innovative concepts that transform the way we do business. They are the project sponsors,” explains Hurtado. After the nanosatellites are launched into space, the SNaP-3 initiative will enter the operational demonstration phase, scheduled to happen as soon as in the spring of 2014. “In today’s world, the cost of traditional satellites limits their availability, but nanosatellites are inexpensive, making future access to space in support of regional security efforts both affordable and responsive. For example, future concepts envision the ability to deploy communications nanosatellites in support of natural disaster response within 24 to 48 hours of its occurrence,” explains Juan Hurtado, senior technology advisor to SOUTHCOM, and head of the Command’s Science, Technology and Experimentation Division. So far, the project has spiked interest from partner nations such as Brazil and Chile, countries which are investing in space initiatives, reveals Hurtado. “We believe nanosatellites are an important part of the future, and our partner nations will be key in assessing the value of this prototype under coalition military scenarios,” he concludes.last_img read more

The Polls Underestimated Trump — Again. Nobody Agrees on Why.

first_imgInevitably, Robert Cahaly and his mysterious Trafalgar Group — which projected a number of close races in the battlegrounds — will also get another look from curious commentators wondering why his polls have been so close to accurate, both in 2016 and this year.The firm was among the only pollsters to show Mr. Trump’s strength in the Midwest and Pennsylvania four years ago, and while its polls this fall may end up being a little on the rosy-red side, they appear to have gotten closer to the final horse-race results in states like Michigan, Wisconsin and Nevada than did other pollsters, by not giving short shrift to Mr. Trump’s strengths. – Advertisement – To some degree, it was clear this process would be unwieldy. With large numbers of mail-in ballots and early in-person votes still uncounted, the earliest returns in most states gave an inflated sense of Mr. Trump’s strength, since voters in Republican areas turned out in higher numbers on Election Day — and those ballots were often the first to be tabulated.- Advertisement – But what is now clear based on the ballots that have been counted (and in almost all states, a majority have been) is that there was an overestimation of Mr. Biden’s support across the board — particularly with white voters and with men, preliminary exit polls indicate. Updated Nov. 4, 2020, 6:36 p.m. ET “I want to see all the results in, I want to see where those deviations are from pre-election polls and final margins,” Christopher Borick, the director of polling at Muhlenberg College in Pennsylvania, said in an interview. “But there’s ample evidence that there were major issues again. Just how deep they are, we’ll see.”In some states where polls had projected President Trump losing narrowly — like Ohio, Iowa and Florida — he had already been declared the winner by a comfortable margin by late Tuesday evening. And in states that had seemed more than likely to go for Joseph R. Biden Jr., like Michigan and Nevada, the result was too close to call last night. It is also possible, said Patrick Murray, the polling director at Monmouth University, that Republicans’ efforts to prevent certain populations from voting easily had a sizable impact — a factor that pollsters knew would be immeasurable in their surveys.“We need to know how many votes were rejected,” he said. “I won’t know, until somebody actually gives me some data, what happened. And it’s possible that we will never know.”He added, “We will never know how many ballots were not delivered by the post office.” While polling had presaged a swing away from Mr. Trump among white voters 65 and over, that never fully took shape.Partly as a result, Mr. Biden underperformed not only in polyglot states like Florida but also in heavily white, suburban areas like Macomb County, Mich., where he had been widely expected to do well.Dr. Borick pointed out that while state-level polls had widely misfired in 2016, they held steady in the 2018 midterms. This led him to conclude that people’s views on Mr. Trump may be particularly difficult to measure.“In the end, like so many Trump-related things, there may be different rules when polling an election with him on the ballot,” Dr. Borick said. “I’m a quantifiable type of human being; I want to see evidence. And I only have two elections with Donald Trump in them — but both seem to be behaving in ways that others don’t behave.”Analyzing pre-election polls alongside exit polls is like comparing apples to apples — if one batch is rotten, the other probably is, too. But the exit polls can still provide a few clues as to what pre-election polls might have missed. There is also no certainty about how much of the electorate these voters comprised. Pollsters puzzled over this question in the wake of 2016, and came to varying conclusions; this year’s results are likely to reignite that discussion. As the results rolled in on Tuesday night, so did a strong sense of déjà vu. Pre-election polls, it appeared, had been misleading once again.While the nation awaits final results from Pennsylvania, Arizona and other key states, it is already clear — no matter who ends up winning — that the industry failed to fully account for the missteps that led it to underestimate Donald J. Trump’s support four years ago. And it raises the question of whether the polling industry, which has become a national fixation in an era of data journalism and statistical forecasting, can survive yet another crisis of confidence.- Advertisement – – Advertisement – At the top of that list is Mr. Trump’s strength among college-educated white voters, particularly men. According to the exit polls, the candidates split white college graduates evenly — after an election season in which almost every major poll of the country and of battleground states had shown Mr. Biden ahead with white degreeholders.And if there is a tendency for polls to underrepresent Mr. Trump’s support, it does not only affect college-educated voters, as “shy Trump” theorists have often suggested. Some studies had posited that highly educated Trump supporters might be more likely to say they preferred his opponent because of social pressure. In many high-quality phone polls before the election, Mr. Trump’s support ran in the mid-to-high 50s among white voters without degrees. But the results of the exit polls put his support with this group firmly in the mid-60s, about on par with his totals in 2016. On the subject of the coronavirus pandemic, it is also notable that compared with most pre-election surveys, the exit polls showed a smaller share of respondents favoring caution over a quick reopening. As of Wednesday afternoon, with final adjustments still anticipated to the data, there was only a nine-percentage-point split between the voters saying it was more important to contain the virus and those saying they cared more about hastening to rebuild the economy, according to the exit polls. In pre-election surveys, the split had typically been well into the double digits, with a considerable majority of voters nationwide saying they preferred caution and containment.It appears that the virus was also less of a motivating factor for voters than many polls had appeared to convey. This year, the exit polls — conducted as usual by Edison Research on behalf of a consortium of news organizations — had direct competition from a new, probability-based voter survey: VoteCast, collected via an online panel assembled for The Associated Press by NORC, a research group at the University of Chicago. By looking at the divergence between the exit polls’ numbers and the responses to the VoteCast canvass, we can see that there were far more voters who considered the coronavirus a big-deal issue in their lives than people who said it was the issue they were voting on.The VoteCast survey found that upward of four in 10 voters said the pandemic was the No. 1 issue facing the country when presented with a list of nine choices. But in the exit polls, when asked which issue had the biggest impact on their voting decision, respondents were less than half as likely to indicate it was the pandemic. Far more likely was the economy; behind that was the issue of racial inequality.Not every pollster fared poorly. Ann Selzer, long considered one of the top pollsters in the country, released a poll with The Des Moines Register days before the election showing Mr. Trump opening up a seven-point lead in Iowa; that appears to be in line with the actual result thus far.In an interview, Ms. Selzer said that this election season she had stuck to her usual process, which involves avoiding assumptions that one year’s electorate will resemble those of previous years. “Our method is designed for our data to reveal to us what is happening with the electorate,” she said. “There are some that will weight their data taking into account many things — past election voting, what the turnout was, things from the past in order to project into the future. I call that polling backwards, and I don’t do it.”last_img read more

COVID-19 is 10 times more deadly than swine flu: WHO

first_imgTedros lamented Monday that some countries are seeing a doubling of cases every three to four days, but stressed that if countries were committed to “early case-finding, testing, isolating [and] caring for every case and tracing every contact” they could rein in the virus.More than half of the planet’s population is currently staying home as part of efforts to stem the spread of the virus, but Tedros warned that “our global connectedness means the risk of re-introduction and resurgence of the disease will continue”.He pointed out that while COVID-19 had accelerated quickly, “it decelerates much more slowly.””In other words, the way down is much slower than the way up,” he said, stressing that “control measures must be lifted slowly, and with control. It cannot happen all at once.””Control measures can only be lifted if the right public health measures are in place, including significant capacity for contact tracing,” he said.Regardless of the efforts put in place, the WHO acknowledged that “ultimately, the development and delivery of a safe and effective vaccine will be needed to fully interrupt transmission”.A vaccine is thought to be at least 12 to 18 months away.Topics : The novel coronavirus is 10 times more deadly than swine flu, which caused a global pandemic in 2009, the World Health Organization said Monday, stressing a vaccine would be necessary to fully halt transmission.WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus told a virtual briefing from Geneva that the organization was constantly learning about the new virus sweeping the globe, which has now killed nearly 115,000 people and infected over 1.8 million.”We know that COVID-19 spreads fast, and we know that it is deadly, 10 times deadlier than the 2009 flu pandemic,” he said. WHO says 18,500 people died of “swine flu”, or H1N1, which was first uncovered in Mexico and the United States in March 2009, but the Lancet medical estimated the toll to be between 151,700 and 575,400.The Lancet review included estimated deaths in Africa and Southeast Asia that were not accounted for by the WHO. The outbreak, which was declared a pandemic in June 2009 and considered over by August 2010, turned out to be not as deadly as first feared.Vaccines were rushed out, but in hindsight, the West, particularly Europe, and the WHO were criticized for overreacting at a time when annual influenza epidemics every year killed between 250,000 and 500,000 people, according to WHO.last_img read more

Asia markets lifted by hopes worst of virus has passed, oil falls

first_imgAsian markets rallied Monday as the rate of deaths from coronavirus sank in several badly hit countries, while leaders stepped up plans to reopen their economies, though oil prices sank with supply glut fears overshadowing output reductions.Traders are also keeping a keen eye on key meetings of central banks in Japan, the US and Europe this week, hoping for further financial support to offset the impact of the virus, which is expected to have sent the world into recession.But while more than 205,000 people have died from the disease and nearly three million cases been recorded, figures at the weekend out of Europe’s worst-hit countries provided some much-needed hope to markets that the peak of the crisis may have passed. Meanwhile, New York Governor Andrew Cuomo said that a first stage of a reopening would start on May 15 if hospitalisations decrease.Eyes on central banks “It is looking well short of a grand reopening in the US, but the fact that some folks are returning to work seems to have piqued the fancy of investors,” said Stephen Innes at AxiCorp.Asian traders welcomed the developments. Tokyo ended the morning more than two percent up, while Hong Kong, Seoul, Taipei and Singapore were all more than one percent higher. Shanghai and Sydney added 0.6 percent each.Focus is now on central banks this week, with traders looking for signs of further support to embattled economies following unprecedented multibillion-dollar measures such as bond-buying and interest rate cuts.”The markets are bolstered today by central banks, who can support risk sentiment this week by signalling a willingness to expand existing asset-purchase schemes if conditions warrant,” Innes added.On oil markets, WTI took another leg down, having endured a painful sell-off last week, with worries about storage and near non-existent demand overshadowing signs that some countries — including Kuwait and Algeria — are starting to slash production in line with a major agreement hammered out this month.”Concerns surrounding rising global inventories, especially in the US with the coronavirus pandemic weighing on gasoline consumption, are pressuring oil prices,” Kim Kwangrae, commodities analyst at Samsung Futures Inc, told Bloomberg News.”While OPEC has started to curb output, demand is still not being supported and that’s going to be a down factor for prices.” Topics :center_img Britain’s daily tally was the lowest since March 31, while Italy and Spain’s were the lowest in a month. France’s toll was a drop of more than a third on the previous day’s figures. And the relative improvement in the data has allowed governments to start easing up on lockdowns that have kept half the planet stuck at home. In Italy, wholesale stores and restaurants will be allowed to resume business on May 4 and people will once again be permitted to stroll in parks and visit relatives, while other shops and museums will open three weeks later.Spain on Sunday let children play outside for the first time since mid-March and Swiss hairdressers, massage parlours, florists and garden centres will be able to reopen from Monday. last_img read more

U.S. Navy Eyes Saab Anti-Submarine Warfare System

first_imgDefence and security company Saab will demonstrate its anti-submarine warfare (ASW) training system, the AUV62-AT, for the U.S. Navy. The AUV62-AT is an artificial acoustic system that mimics a submarine.The Navy will evaluate Saab’s AUV62-AT against its systems through the ‘Foreign Comparative Testing’ (FCT) program.The demonstration is planned for summer 2018, with an option to continue testing into 2019.The U.S. Navy is investigating a replacement to its current ASW training system for its undersea warfare training range.“With submarine usage on the rise, anti-submarine warfare training is more crucial than ever. Some of today’s submarines are armed with heavyweight torpedoes that can destroy a massive vessel rather than simply disable it. AUV62-AT prepares operators for this threat,” says Görgen Johansson, senior vice president and head of Saab´s Business Area Dynamics.Saab’s AUV62-AT package trains operators in submarine surveillance, detection, identification, classification, and target engagement. The AUV62-AT is an artificial acoustic system that mimics a submarine in a way that is compatible with any torpedo- and sonar system on the market today. The system fully replaces the use of a submarine in the role as a maneuvering training target and can be launched from a ship, a submarine, or shore, Saab explained.last_img read more

Nominations for Greensburg/Decatur County Chamber of Commerce Awards are currently being accepted

first_imgGreensburg, IN—Nominations for three awards from the Greensburg/Decatur County Chamber of Commerce are currently being accepted until  4 p.m on Thursday, Oct. 17, 2019. Those awards include the Entrepreneur of the Year, the Chamber’s Small Business Grant, and the prestigious Don Horan Community Service Leader of the Year Award.Applications for each award are available on the Chamber website, here. They are also available at the Chamber office or at the front desk of Greensburg City Hall, 314 W. Washington St., Greensburg, IN 47240.Winners will be recognized at the Chamber’s annual banquet being held this year on Friday, Nov. 15, 2019, at Chamber member and supporter Indiana Grand Racing and Casino in Shelby County. More information about tickets to the event will be released soon.last_img read more

Sam Adeyemi to Gunners: Everything doesn’t go downward same time

first_imgRelatedPosts Runarsson joins Arsenal on four-year deal Arsenal, Wolves want Michael Olise Akpom pens Middlesbrough loan deal The Senior Pastor of Daystar Christian Centre, Dr. Sam Adeyemi, has congratulated Arsenal FC and the club’s fans, popularly called Gunners, for the team’s victory over Liverpool FC in the Community Shield.Adeyemi, a Gunner himself, said this on his Twitter handle late on Saturday, hours after Arsenal won the Community Shield, defeating the Premier League Champions. Commenting on the victory, Adeyemi tweeted: “Congratulations Arsenal and all Gunners.“Everything doesn’t go downward at the same time, even in a challenging year like 2020.”Tags: 2020ArsenalCommunity Shield VictoryPastor Sam Adeyemilast_img read more